Abstract
PURPOSE: To determine the contribution of recall bias to the observed excess in mental ill-health in those reporting harassment at work. METHODS: A prospective cohort of 1885 workers in welding and electrical trades was contacted every six months for up to 5 years, asking whether they were currently anxious or depressed and whether this was made worse by work. Only at the end of the study did we ask about any workplace harassment they had experienced at work. We elicited sensitivity and specificity of self-reported bullying from published reliability studies and formulated priors that reflect the possibility of over-reporting of workplace harassment (exposure) by those whose anxiety or depression was reported to be made worse by work (cases). We applied the resulting misclassification models to probabilistic bias analysis (PBA) of relative risks. RESULTS: We observe that PBA implies that it is unlikely that biased misclassification due to the study subjects' states of mind could have caused the entire observed association. Indeed, the results demonstrated that doubling of risk of anxiety or depression following workplace harassment is plausible, with the unadjusted relative risk attenuated with understated uncertainty. CONCLUSIONS: It seems unlikely that risk of anxiety or depression following workplace harassment can be explained by the form of recall bias that we proposed.