Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Cervical lymph node metastasis (CLNM) is considered a marker of papillar Fethicy thyroid cancer (PTC) progression and has a potential impact on the prognosis of PTC. The purpose of this study was to screen for predictors of CLNM in PTC and to construct a predictive model to guide the surgical approach in patients with PTC. METHODS: This is a retrospective study. Preoperative dual-energy computed tomography images of 114 patients with pathologically confirmed PTC between July 2019 and April 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. The dual-energy computed tomography parameters [iodine concentration (IC), normalized iodine concentration (NIC), the slope of energy spectrum curve (λ(HU))] of the venous stage cancer foci were measured and calculated. The independent influencing factors for predicting CLNM were determined by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis, and the prediction models were constructed. The clinical benefits of the model were evaluated using decision curves, calibration curves, and receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS: The statistical results show that NIC, derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), gender, and tumor diameter were independent predictors of CLNM in PTC. The AUC of the nomogram was .898 (95% CI: .829-.966), and the calibration curve and decision curve showed that the prediction model had good predictive effect and clinical benefit, respectively. CONCLUSION: The nomogram constructed based on dual-energy CT parameters and inflammatory prognostic indicators has high clinical value in predicting CLNM in PTC patients.