Energy consumption prediction using modified deep CNN-Bi LSTM with attention mechanism

基于改进型深度 CNN-Bi LSTM 和注意力机制的能耗预测

阅读:1

Abstract

The prediction of energy consumption in households is essential due to the reliance on electrical appliances for daily activities. Accurate assessment of energy demand is crucial for effective energy generation, preventing overloads and optimizing energy storage. Traditional techniques have limitations in accuracy and error rates, necessitating advancements in prediction techniques. To enhance prediction accuracy, a proposed smart city system utilizes the Household Energy Consumption dataset, employing deep learning algorithms. In the beginning, data pre-processing addresses missing values and performs feature scaling for normalizing independent variables. Followed by that, Modified Deep CNN-Bi-LSTM (Convolutional Neural Network and Bi-directional Long Short Term Memory) with attention mechanism is utilized for regression which extracts temporal and spatial complex features. Deep CNN extracts features impacting energy consumption whereas Bi-LSTM with attention layer finds suitability for regression as it is capable of modelling irregular trends in the time-series components, where the attention mechanism is implemented to enhance the decoder's ability to selectively focus on the most relevant segments of the input sequence. This is achieved through a weighted integration of all encoded input trajectories, allowing the model to dynamically emphasize the vectors that carry the highest significance for accurate predictions. Based on regression outcomes from analysis taken in hourly, daily and monthly time intervals, enhanced prediction accuracy is estimated through evaluation metrics such as MSE (Mean Square Error), MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) which determines the efficacy of the system, where Specifically, the proposed model achieves MSE of 0.123, MAE of 0.22, and MAPE of 324.12. Furthermore, this model demonstrates a training time of 692.12 s and a prediction time of just 1.87 s. Therefore, present research highlights the critical need for accurate energy consumption prediction in households, driven by the increasing reliance on electrical appliances in daily life.

特别声明

1、本页面内容包含部分的内容是基于公开信息的合理引用;引用内容仅为补充信息,不代表本站立场。

2、若认为本页面引用内容涉及侵权,请及时与本站联系,我们将第一时间处理。

3、其他媒体/个人如需使用本页面原创内容,需注明“来源:[生知库]”并获得授权;使用引用内容的,需自行联系原作者获得许可。

4、投稿及合作请联系:info@biocloudy.com。