Abstract
BACKGROUND: The study aimed to investigate the clinical value and prognostic patterns of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and imaging tumor capsule (ITC) in solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing narrow-margin hepatectomy. METHODS: Data for solitary HCC patients treated with narrow-margin surgery were extracted from Shanghai General Hospital. Clinical features of recurrence-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS), and early recurrence were investigated by Cox/logistic regression. The significant variables were subsequently incorporated into the nomogram pattern. Survival analysis stratified by NLR and ITC was also performed. RESULTS: The study included a cohort of 222 patients, with median RFS and OS of 24.083 and 32.283 months, respectively. Both an NLR ≥ 2.80 and incomplete ITC had a significant impact on prognosis. NLR and ITC independently affected RFS and OS, whereas alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and ITC were identified as independent factors for early relapse. The RFS and OS nomogram, generated based on the Cox model, demonstrated good performance in validation. The combination of NLR and ITC showed greater predictive accuracy for 5-year RFS and OS. Subgroups with an NLR ≥ 2.80 and incomplete ITC had the worst prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Both NLR and ITC significantly affected RFS, OS, and early recurrence among solitary HCC patients who underwent narrow-margin hepatectomy. The combination of NLR and ITC has the potential to guide rational clinical treatment and determine the prognosis.