Abstract
The main aim of this study is to examine the evolving landscape of agricultural socialized services and their impact on the consistent growth of grain production in China. Using panel data from 2007 to 2020, we employ the Entropy Method to gauge the dynamic changes in agricultural socialized services that have contributed to the steady increase in grain production. The research methods include static panel, mediator, and threshold regression models to investigate the effects and mechanisms underpinning the improvement of agricultural socialized services on grain production growth. The empirical findings demonstrate a significantly positive correlation between enhanced agricultural socialized services, such as means of production services, sci-tech information services, and social public services, and increased grain production. This positive impact persists even with limited grain production resources. A mediating effect was identified, whereby agricultural socialized services indirectly stimulate grain production growth by encouraging large-scale agricultural land management. Furthermore, threshold analysis indicates the presence of a single threshold effect linked to the level of agricultural socialization services. This threshold effect plays a pivotal role in the relationship between large-scale agricultural management and steady grain production growth. The study suggests an enhancement of agricultural socialized services can promote sustained growth in grain production.