Hydrocephalus following Brain Tumor Surgery: Factors Correlating with Occurrence of Postoperative Hydrocephalus and Predictive Scoring Model

脑肿瘤手术后脑积水:与术后脑积水发生相关的因素及预测评分模型

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Abstract

Hydrocephalus following brain tumor surgery is found, although cause of hydrocephalus is optimally eradicated. This study aimed to investigate factors associated with development of postoperative hydrocephalus that requires shunt procedure and generate predictive scoring model of this condition. Demographic, clinical, radiographic, treatment, laboratory, complication, and postoperative data were collected. Binary logistic regression was used to investigate final model for generating predictive scoring system of postoperative hydrocephalus. A total of 179 patients undergoing brain tumor surgery were included. Forty-five (25.1%) patients had postoperative hydrocephalus that required shunt surgery. In univariate analysis, several factors were found to be associated with postoperative hydrocephalus. Strong predictors of postoperative hydrocephalus revealed in multivariate analysis included tumor recurrence before surgery (odds ratio [OR], 4.38; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.28-14.98; p  = 0.018), preoperative hydrocephalus (OR, 6.52; 95% CI, 2.44-17.46; p  < 0.001), glial tumor (OR, 3.76; 95% CI, 1.14-12.43; p  = 0.030), metastasis (OR, 5.19; 95% CI, 1.72-15.69; p  = 0.004), intraventricular hemorrhage (OR, 7.08; 95% CI, 1.80-27.82; p  = 0.005), and residual tumor volume (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.09; p  = 0.007). A cutoff predictive score with the best area under curve and optimum cutoff point was utilized for discriminating patients with high risk from individuals with low risk in occurrence of postoperative hydrocephalus. This study reported predictive factors strongly associated with development of postoperative hydrocephalus. Predictive scoring system is useful for identifying patients with an increased risk of postoperative hydrocephalus. Patients classified in the high-risk group require closed surveillance of the hydrocephalus.

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