Abstract
PURPOSE: Identifying prognosis for patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) is challenging. Eosinophils and platelet are involved in the development of COPD, which may predict adverse events. The objective of this study was to determine the effect of the eosinophil to platelet ratio (EPR) in predicting adverse events in patients with AECOPD who visited the emergency department. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The records of patients with AECOPD treated at Dalian Municipal Friendship Hospital from January 2018 to December 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. The relationship between the clinical characteristics and EPR, as cut-off value of 0.755, was evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 508 patients with an AECOPD (316 male, 192 female) were included. An optimal AUC cutoff of 0.755 for the EPR segregated the patients into 2 groups with significantly different mortality (25.3% vs 5.5%, P < 0.001). The same mortality risk with lower EPR was observed among the patients with emergency room attendance (35.6% vs 11.1%, P < 0.001). A model including EPR <0.755, exacerbation history, PaO2 <60mmHg, PaCO2 >50 mm Hg, hypoalbuminemia and age ≥80 was developed to predict death risk and showed good performance. CONCLUSION: During severe COPD exacerbation, an EPR < 0.755 preceding therapy can predict worse outcomes in patients with an AECOPD.