Conclusion
The qMSP technology is robust and can successfully be developed with a high specificity of the TNF qMSP assay for RA in patients with early inflammatory arthritis. It should assist classification in ACPA-negative patients, providing a means of reducing time to diagnosis and treatment.
Methods
DNA-methylation data were screened to select candidate CpGs to design qMSP assays. Eight assays were developed and tested on two early inflammatory arthritis cohorts. Logistic regression and bootstrapping were used to demonstrate the added value of the qMSP assays. Result: Differentially methylated CpG data were screened for candidate CpG, thereby meeting the qMSP assay requirements. The top CpG candidate was in the TNF gene, for which we successfully developed a qMSP assay. Significantly lower DNA-methylation levels were observed in RA (p < 4 × 10-9), with a high predictive value (OR < 0.54/AUC < 0.198) in both cohorts (n = 127/n = 157). Regression using both datasets showed improved accuracy = 87.7% and AUC = 0.944 over the model using only clinical variables (accuracy = 85.2%, AUC = 0.917). Similar data were obtained in ACPA-negative patients (n = 167, accuracy = 82.6%, AUC = 0.930) compared to the clinical variable model (accuracy = 79.5%, AUC = 0.892). Bootstrapping using 2000 datasets confirmed that the AUCs for the clinical+TNF-qMSP model had significant added value in both analyses.