Background
Immunotherapy combined with intra-arterial therapy (IAT) has shown great potential in the treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). However, there are currently no available biomarkers that can predict the prognosis of immune-based combined therapy. Objectives: To establish a scoring method to predict prognosis in uHCC patients undergoing IAT plus immunotherapy.
Conclusion
The AFCRPLITY score is associated with PFS and DCR in uHCC patients receiving IATs plus immunotherapy. This score may be helpful for counseling, but prospective validation is needed. Design: A retrospective, multi-institutional study.
Methods
Between March 2019 and August 2022, uHCC patients undergoing IAT in combination with programmed cell death (ligand) 1 (PD-1)/PD-L1-based immunotherapy were retrospectively analyzed.
Results
Among 1046 patients included, 780 patients were enrolled into hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy immunotherapy cohorts (training set: n = 546, one center; external testing set: n = 234, three centers) and 266 patients were treated with trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE) plus immunotherapy were enrolled into TACE immunotherapy cohort (validation set: n = 266). We developed the easy-to-apply alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), C-reactive protein (CRP), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in immunotherapy (AFCRPLITY) score and investigated the prognostic value of baseline variables on the disease control rate (DCR) and progression-free survival (PFS). HCC patients with low AFCRPLITY scores would have better PFS and DCRs than patients with high AFCRPLITY scores (AFCRPLITY 0: vs AFCRPLITY 1: vs AFCRPLITY 2: vs AFCRPLITY 3: p < 0.001 for PFS, p = 0.001 for DCRs) in the training set, which was confirmed in the external testing set and validation set. The highest level of CD8+ T cells was in the AFCRPLITY score = 0 group than the other two groups.
Trial registration
The study has been retrospectively registered at the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (https://www.chictr.org.cn/, ChiCTR2300075828).