GDF-15 and sST-2 act as biomarkers of disease severity but not independent predictors in idiopathic membranous nephropathy

We aimed to explore biomarkers of disease severity in idiopathic membranous nephropathy (IMN) and independent predictors of prognosis in IMN.

Serum levels of GDF-15 and sST-2 may be potential biomarkers for the severity of IMN, while the combined-factors model is effective for predicting the risk factors of incomplete remission in IMN.

Clinical data were collected from 79 IMN patients. Serum levels of growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) and soluble suppression of tumorigenicity (sST-2) were tested by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) in IMN patients and subgroups, and correlation analysis was performed. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of IMN, and a combined-factors model was constructed. Moreover, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the prognostic efficacy.

The levels of GDF-15 were significantly higher in the IMN group and subgroups with low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and high 24 hour-urine protein (24 h-UP), whiles sST-2 level was only significantly higher in the IMN group. GDF-15 levels were positively correlated with creatinine (Crea), cystatin C (Cys-C) and 24 h-UP and negatively correlated with GFR and albumin (Alb), while sST-2 levels were positively correlated with Urea and Cys-C and negatively correlated with eGFR. After one year of follow-up, 54 patients had incomplete remission. Serum phospholipase A2 receptor antibody (PLA2R-Ab), Urea, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and 24 h-UP but not GDF-15 and sST2 were independent predictors of prognosis in IMN patients, but combined factors showed the best prognostic efficacy.