The amount of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in wastewater relates to the development of the pandemic and its burden on the health system

废水中 SARS-CoV-2 RNA 的含量与疫情的发展及其对卫生系统的负担有关

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作者:Hao Wang, Marianela Patzi Churqui, Timur Tunovic, Lucica Enache, Anette Johansson, Ambjörn Kärmander, Staffan Nilsson, Martin Lagging, Maria Andersson, Leif Dotevall, Thomas Brezicka, Kristina Nyström, Heléne Norder

Abstract

Virus surveillance in wastewater can be a useful indicator of the development of the COVID-19 pandemic in communities. However, knowledge about how the amount of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in wastewater relates to different data on the burden on the health system is still limited. Herein, we monitored the amount of SARS-CoV-2 RNA and the spectrum of virus variants in weekly pooled wastewater samples for two years from mid-February 2020 and compared them with several clinical data. The two-year monitoring showed the weekly changes in the amount of viral RNA in wastewater preceded the hospital care needs for COVID-19 and the number of acute calls on adult acute respiratory distress by 1-2 weeks during the first three waves of COVID-19. Our study demonstrates that virus surveillance in wastewater can predict the development of a pandemic and its burden on the health system, regardless of society's test capacity and possibility of tracking infected cases.

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