Abstract
We determined neutralizing antibody levels to the ancestral Wuhan SARS-CoV-2 strain and three Omicron variants, namely BA.5, XBB.1.5, and EG.5, in a heavily vaccinated cohort of 178 adults 15-19 months after the initial vaccine series and prospectively after 4 months. Although all participants had detectable neutralizing antibodies to Wuhan, the proportion with detectable neutralizing antibodies to the Omicron variants was decreased, and the levels were lower. Individuals with hybrid immunity at the baseline visit and those receiving the Original/Omicron bivalent vaccine between the two sampling times demonstrated increased neutralizing antibodies to all strains. Both a higher baseline neutralizing antibody titer to Omicron BA.5 and hybrid immunity were associated with protection against a breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infection during a 4-month period of follow up during the Omicron BA.5 wave. Neither were associated with protection from a breakthrough infection at 10 months follow up. Receipt of an Original/Omicron BA.4/5 vaccine was associated with protection from a breakthrough infection at both 4 and 10 months follow up. This work demonstrates neutralizing antibody escape with the emerging Omicron variants and supports the use of additional vaccine doses with components that match circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants. A threshold value for neutralizing antibodies for protection against reinfection cannot be determined.