Left Pulmonary Vein Trunk Length as a Robust Predictor of Long-Term Success of Atrial Fibrillation Catheter Ablation

左肺静脉主干长度是心房颤动导管消融长期成功的可靠预测指标

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作者:Jiaju Li, Zhe Wang, Fen Qin, Fangyuan Luo, Jiawei Chen, Yankun Liu, Hailong Tao, Jianzeng Dong

Background

Radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) is a commonly used treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF), but the long-term recurrence rate remains relatively high. Given the inconsistent

Conclusions

LTL is a robust prognostic indicator for post-ablative outcome in AF patients receiving RFCA, with a longer LTL indicating a higher risk of recurrence.

Methods

A total of 369 AF patients undergoing catheter ablation were included. The left/right trunk length (LTL/RTL) of the PV was measured from pre-ablative computed tomography (CT) using three-dimensional reconstruction techniques. We constructed three multivariable Cox models, with the inclusion of the LTL, RTL, and no LTL/RTL, and used the Delong test, integrated discrimination index (IDI), and net reclassification index (NRI) to assess model improvement. We identified optimal cut-off values for LTL with the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and estimated outcomes using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve. We also used subgroup analysis to evaluate interactions.

Results

The results of the Delong test, IDI, and NRI indicated that LTL had a favorable impact on the performance of the multivariate model. Subsequently, the multivariate Cox regression analysis identified LTL as a significant risk factor for post-ablative recurrence of AF (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.05-1.12, p <<math><mo><</mo></math> 0.001). According to the ROC curve, the optimal cut-off value for LTL is 11.15 mm, and the Kaplan-Meier estimator revealed different outcomes (p <<math><mo><</mo></math> 0.001). We calculated p for interaction between LTL and other factors, and no significant interaction terms were observed. Conclusions: LTL is a robust prognostic indicator for post-ablative outcome in AF patients receiving RFCA, with a longer LTL indicating a higher risk of recurrence.

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