Predicting susceptibility to COVID-19 infection in patients on maintenance hemodialysis by cross-coupling soluble ACE2 concentration with lymphocyte count: an algorithmic approach

通过将可溶性 ACE2 浓度与淋巴细胞计数交叉偶联来预测维持性血液透析患者对 COVID-19 感染的易感性:一种算法方法

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作者:Shuang Yuan, FuLei Meng #, Shuai Zhou #, XiaoYing Liu, XiaoMing Liu, LiHong Zhang, Tao Wang

Conclusion

By sorting out the susceptible ones expeditiously, this algorithmic approach may help the otherwise vulnerable MHD patients weather over future wave of COVID-19 variants or outbreak of other viral diseases.

Methods

Blood samples were collected from the patients in our then COVID-19 free center immediately upon lifting of the stringent quarantine measures in early December of 2022 and infection situation was observed within the following 2 weeks. Plasma levels of the soluble ACE2 (sACE2), ACE (sACE) and TMPRSS2 (sTMPRSS2) were measured with ELISA method. Data were stepwisely tested for independent effect, relevant role and synergistic action on the susceptibility by multiple logistic regression, receiver operating characteristic curve and multiple dimensionality reduction (MDR) method, respectively.

Results

Among the 174 eligible patients, 95 (54.6%) turned COVID-19 positive with a male to female ratio of 1.57 during the observation period. Comparing with the uninfected, the infected had significantly higher sACE2 and lower sTMPRSS2 levels upon comparable sACE concentration. Besides the sACE2, factors associated with susceptibility were vintage and individual session time of the hemodialysis, smoking and comorbidity of hepatitis, whereas lymphocyte counts showed a tendency (p = 0.052). Patients simultaneously manifesting higher sACE2 level and lower lymphocyte counts had an increased infection risk as confirmed by the MDR method.

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