Early-Onset Versus Late-Onset Preeclampsia in Bogotá, Colombia: Differential Risk Factor Identification and Evaluation Using Traditional Statistics and Machine Learning

哥伦比亚波哥大早发型与晚发型子痫前期:基于传统统计学和机器学习的差异化风险因素识别与评估

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Abstract

Background/Objectives: Preeclampsia (PE) is a major cause of maternal and perinatal morbidity and mortality, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Early-onset PE (EOP) and late-onset PE (LOP) are distinct clinical entities with differing pathophysiological mechanisms and prognoses. However, few studies have explored differential risk factors for EOP and LOP in Latin American populations. This study aimed to identify and assess clinical risk factors for predicting EOP and LOP in a cohort of pregnant women from Bogotá, Colombia, using traditional statistics and machine learning (ML). Methods: A cross-sectional observational study was conducted on 190 pregnant women diagnosed with PE (EOP = 80, LOP = 110) at a tertiary hospital in Bogotá between 2017 and 2018. Risk factors and perinatal outcomes were collected via structured interviews and clinical records. Traditional statistical analyses were performed to compare the study groups and identify associations between risk factors and outcomes. Eleven ML techniques were used to train and externally validate predictive models for PE subtype and secondary outcomes, incorporating permutation-based feature importance to enhance interpretability. Results: EOP was significantly associated with higher maternal education and history of hypertension, while LOP was linked to a higher prevalence of allergic history. The best-performing ML model for predicting PE subtype was linear discriminant analysis (recall = 0.71), with top predictors including education level, family history of perinatal death, number of sexual partners, primipaternity, and family history of hypertension. Conclusions: EOP and LOP exhibit distinct clinical profiles in this cohort. The combination of traditional statistics with ML may improve early risk stratification and support context-specific prenatal care strategies in similar settings.

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