Virological outcomes of antiretroviral therapy and its determinants among HIV patients in Ethiopia: Implications for achieving the 95-95-95 target

埃塞俄比亚艾滋病患者抗逆转录病毒疗法的病毒学结果及其决定因素:对实现95-95-95目标的影响

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Despite significant advancements in HIV treatment, virological outcomes remain a critical issue. Ethiopia did not meet the 90:90:90 targets set for 2020, which aimed for 90% of people on antiretroviral therapy to achieve viral suppression. As the country shifts its focus toward the 95:95:95 targets for 2030-seeking to achieve 95% viral suppression among those on ART-it is crucial to deepen our understanding of viral suppression and the factors that influence it. METHODS: Virological suppression was examined among 410 HIV-positive individuals on ART using the EPHIA survey. The survey employed a two-stage, stratified sampling design across urban areas in nine regions and two city administrations. Data analysis was conducted with STATA version 18, and multicollinearity was assessed using variance inflation factors. A logistic regression model identified significant determinants of viral suppression, with variables having a p-value of ≤0.05 considered statistically significant in the multivariable analysis. RESULTS: The findings revealed that 364 participants (88.78%) achieved viral suppression. Key determinants of virological outcomes included a higher wealth level (AOR = 2.67, 95% CI: 1.15-6.22), the presence of active TB (AOR = 0.27, 95% CI: 0.14-0.57), hepatitis B virus (AOR = 0.20, 95% CI: 0.10-0.31), and the utilization of HIV support group care (AOR = 3.14, 95% CI: 1.35-6.30). CONCLUSION: Viral suppression among HIV patients is 88.78%, which even falls short of the WHO's 90% target for 2020, indicating the substantial work required to achieve 95% by 2030. To improve virological outcomes, it is crucial to increase support for low-income patients, enhance management of co-infections like TB and hepatitis B, and expand access to HIV support groups for better adherence and care.

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