Improved Combination Weighted Prediction Model of Aquifer Water Abundance Based on a Cloud Model

基于云模型的含水层水量改进组合加权预测模型

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Abstract

The sandstone aquifer is an important underground water storage space, and the study of its water abundance is of great significance to ensure the safety of underground engineering and to explore the occurrence mechanism of groundwater sources. Based on the correlation between geological characteristics and aquifer water abundance, this paper proposed an aquifer water abundance prediction model based on a cloud model that improved combination weighting. The model took the roof sandstone aquifer of the Qingshuiying Coalfield as an example and selected five basic geological indicators that are closely related to the water-rich influence degree of the aquifer as evaluation indicators. The model was based on the idea of game theory, combined the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the entropy weight method, and introduced the cloud model evaluation method. The establishment of the model was based on the idea of game theory, combining the AHP and the entropy weight method and introducing the cloud model evaluation method. The results show that most of the study areas are located in weak or relatively weak water abundance areas; relatively strong water abundance areas are mainly distributed in the central, western, and southeastern parts of the study; strong water abundance areas are scattered in parts of the northeast, southwest, and southeast. The unit water inflow data of the actual pumping test is consistent with the water-rich prediction partition, which proves the accuracy and scientificity of the method. The model provides a new idea for the study of groundwater geology and a new method for predicting the water abundance of the roof aquifer in coal mines.

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