Impact of treatment on the prognosis of childhood in hepatoblastoma: A SEER based analysis

治疗对儿童肝母细胞瘤预后的影响:基于SEER数据库的分析

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: The prognosis of patients with hepatoblastoma has been unsatisfactory. This study analyzed the effects of different treatment methods on cancer-specific survival (CSS) in children with hepatoblastoma. METHOD: From 2000 to 2018, patients with hepatoblastoma were included in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. CSS was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox regression analysis assessed prognostic factors. The predictive models were validated using the concordance index (C-index), calibration curve and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULT: Of the 785 included patients, 730 (93.0 %) underwent chemotherapy, 516 (65.7 %) underwent liver tumour resection and 129 (16.4 %) underwent liver transplantation. Both chemotherapy and surgery could significantly improve the CSS rate (all p < 0.001). However, there was no difference in CSS rate between the two surgical methods (liver tumour resection and liver transplantation) (p = 0.613). Further subgroup analysis revealed that children who underwent liver tumour resection or liver transplantation based on chemotherapy (all p > 0.05) had a similar prognosis. Multivariate analysis revealed that age (p = 0.003), race (p = 0.001), operative method (p < 0.001), chemotherapy (p < 0.001), distant metastasis (p < 0.001) and tumour size (p < 0.001) were independent factors related to CSS. The C-index of the new nomogram was 0.759, and its consistency was good. The ROC curves verified that the nomogram had a better prediction ability for 1-, 3- and 5-year CSS rates. CONCLUSION: In children with hepatoblastoma, there was no statistically significant difference in CSS between chemotherapy combined with liver transplantation and liver tumour resection. The nomogram we constructed demonstrated satisfactory CSS prediction ability.

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