Abstract
The objective of this observational study was to estimate effects of clinical mastitis (CM) cases caused by different pathogens (Streptococcus spp., Staphylococcus aureus, Staphylococcus spp., Escherichia coli, Klebsiella spp., and CM cases with no growth) occurring in the first 100 d in lactation 1, of a dairy cow on the future rate of occurrence of different types of CM during a cow's full lifetime. The outcomes were occurrence of Streptococcus spp., Staphylococcus aureus, Staphylococcus spp., Escherichia coli, Klebsiella spp., and CM cases with no growth, after the first 100 d of lactation 1, until a cow's removal through death or sale in that or a subsequent lactation. Data, including information on CM cases, milk production, and event dates (including death or sale dates), were collected from 14,440 cows in 5 New York State Holstein herds from January 2004 until February 2014. Generalized linear mixed models with a Poisson distribution and log link function were fit for each pathogen. The individual cow was the unit of analysis. Escherichia coli was a predictor of future occurrence of E. coli, Klebsiella spp., and CM cases with no growth. Early-occurring Klebsiella spp. was a predictor of future cases of Klebsiella spp. Cases with no growth were predictors of future occurrence of Staphylococcus spp., E. coli, Klebsiella spp., and cases with no growth. Thus, E. coli and cases with no growth occurring early in lactation 1 appear to be consistent risk factors for future cases of CM, whether cases with the same pathogen or a different pathogen. In this study, farm effects on later pathogen occurrence differed somewhat, so treatment protocol and culling strategy may play a role in the findings. Nevertheless, the findings may help farmers in managing young cows with CM in early productive life, especially those with E. coli or cases with no growth, in that they may be more susceptible to future CM cases in their later productive life, thus meriting closer attention.