Pandemic Surge Models in the Time of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2: Wrong or Useful?

严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2疫情期间的疫情激增模型:是错误的还是有用的?

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Abstract

Public health decision making during the COVID-19 pandemic involves tradeoffs, uncertainty, and values, and models have been developed to inform administrative and policy decision makers to forecast demand for hospital resources, to understand hospital capacity constraints, and to determine when peak demand occurs. This editorial discusses fundamental differences among 3 models in current use.

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