Abstract
The metabolic profile predating the onset of Parkinson's disease (PD) remains unclear. We aim to investigate the metabolites associated with incident and prevalent PD and their predictive values in the UK Biobank participants with metabolomics and genetic data at the baseline. A panel of 249 metabolites was quantified using a nuclear magnetic resonance analytical platform. PD was ascertained by self-reported history, hospital admission records and death registers. Cox proportional hazard models and logistic regression models were used to investigate the associations between metabolites and incident and prevalent PD, respectively. Area under receiver operating characteristics curves (AUC) were used to estimate the predictive values of models for future PD. Among 109,790 participants without PD at the baseline, 639 (0.58%) individuals developed PD after one year from the baseline during a median follow-up period of 12.2 years. Sixty-eight metabolites were associated with incident PD at nominal significance (P < 0.05), spanning lipids, lipid constituent of lipoprotein subclasses and ratios of lipid constituents. After multiple testing corrections (P < 9 × 10(-4)), polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) and omega-6 fatty acids remained significantly associated with incident PD, and PUFA was shared by incident and prevalent PD. Additionally, 14 metabolites were exclusively associated with prevalent PD, including amino acids, fatty acids, several lipoprotein subclasses and ratios of lipids. Adding these metabolites to the conventional risk factors yielded a comparable predictive performance to the risk-factor-based model (AUC = 0.766 vs AUC = 0.768, P = 0.145). Our findings suggested metabolic profiles provided additional knowledge to understand different pathways related to PD before and after its onset.