Abstract
Anlotinib is a small-molecule RTK inhibitor that has achieved certain results in further-line treatment, but many patients do not respond to this drug and lack effective methods for identification. Although radiomics has been widely used in lung cancer, very few studies have been conducted in the field of antiangiogenic drugs. This study aims to develop a new model to predict the efficacy of patients receiving anlotinib by combining pretreatment computed tomography (CT) radiomic characters with clinical characters, in order to assist precision medicine of pulmonary cancer. 254 patients from seven institutions were involved in the study. Lesions were selected according to the RECIST 1.1 criteria, and the corresponding radiomic features were obtained. We constructed prediction models based on clinical, NCE-CT, and CE-CT radiomic features, respectively, and evaluated the prediction performance of the models for training sets, internal validation sets, and external validation sets. In the RAD score only model, the area under curve(AUC) of the NCE-CT cohort was 0.740 (95% CI: 0.622, 0.857) for the training set, 0.711 (95% CI: 0.480, 0.942) for the internal validation set, and 0.633(95% CI: 0.479, 0.787) for the external validation set, while that of the CE-CT cohort was 0.815 (95% CI: 0.705, 0.926) for the training set, 0.771 (95% CI: 0.539, 1.000) for the internal validation set, and 0.701 (95% CI: 0.489, 0.913) for the external validation set. In the RAD score-combined model, the AUC of the NCE-CT cohort was 0.796 (95% CI: 0.691, 0.901) for the training set, 0.579 (95% CI: 0.309, 0.848) for the internal validation set, and 0.590 (95% CI: 0.427, 0.753) for the external validation set, while that of the CE-CT cohort was 0.902 (95% CI: 0.828, 0.977) for the training set, 0.865 (95% CI: 0.696, 1.000) for the internal validation set, and 0.837 (95% CI: 0.682, 0.992) for the external validation set. In conclusion, radiomics has accurate predictions for the efficacy of anlotinib. CE-CT-based radiomic models have the best predictive potential in predicting the efficacy of anlotinib, and model predictions become better when they are combined with clinical characteristics.