Dynamic Change of Novel Systemic Inflammation Markers to Predict Maternal-Neonatal Prognosis After Cervical Cerclage

宫颈环扎术后新型全身炎症标志物动态变化预测母婴预后

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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Cervical cerclage is an effective method to prevent preterm birth. However, the clinical indicators that can predict cervical cerclage remain limited. This study aimed to explore whether dynamically inflammatory markers are valuable biomarkers for the prognosis of cervical cerclage. METHODS: This study included 328 participants. Inflammatory markers were calculated using maternal peripheral blood before and after the cervical cerclage procedure. The Chi-square test, linear regression, and logistic regression were performed to evaluate the dynamic change of inflammatory markers with the prognosis of cervical cerclage. And the optimal cut-off values of inflammatory markers were calculated. RESULTS: Totally 328 pregnant women were analyzed in the study. 223 (67.99%) participants obtained successful cervical cerclage. This study revealed that the maternal age, the baseline BMI (cm(2)/kg), the times of gravida, the rate of recurrent abortion, the PPROM, cervical length shorter (<1.5cm), cervical dilation (≥2cm), the bulging membrane, the Pre-SII, the Pre-SIRI, the Post-SII, the Post-SIRI, and the ΔSII were significantly associated with outcomes after cervical cerclage (all P<0.05). Pre-SII, Pre-SIRI, Post-SII, Post-SIRI, and ΔSII levels were mainly related to maternal-neonatal outcomes. Furthermore, the results demonstrated that the ΔSII level had the highest OR (OR=14.560; 95% CI (4.461-47.518)). In addition, we revealed that Post-SII and ΔSII levels had the highest AUC (0.845/0.840) and relatively higher sensitivity/specificity (68.57/92.83% and 71.43/90.58%) and PPV/ NPV (81.82/86.25% and 78.13/87.07%) compared with other indicators. CONCLUSION: This study suggested that the dynamic change of SII level and SIRI level are important biochemical markers to predict the prognosis of cervical cerclage and maternal-neonatal prognosis, especially the Post-SII and ΔSII levels. They can help to determine candidates for cervical cerclage before surgical procedure and enhance postoperative surveillance.

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