Abstract
Hemorrhage is the leading cause of preventable death in trauma care, requiring rapid and accurate detection to guide effective interventions. Hemorrhagic shock can be masked by underlying compensatory mechanisms, which may lead to delayed decision-making that can compromise casualty care. In this proof-of-concept study, we aimed to develop and evaluate machine learning models to predict Percent Estimated Blood Loss from a photoplethysmography waveform, offering non-invasive, field deployable solutions. Different model types were tuned and optimized using data captured during a hemorrhage and resuscitation swine study. Through this optimization process, we evaluated different time-lengths of prediction windows, machine learning model architectures, and data normalization approaches. Models were successful at predicting Percent Estimated Blood Loss in blind swine subjects with coefficient of determination values exceeding 0.8. This provides evidence that Percent Estimated Blood Loss can be accurately derived from non-invasive signals, improving its utility for trauma care and casualty triage in the pre-hospital and emergency medicine environment.