Abstract
BACKGROUND: Male patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) tend to have poorer prognosis compared to females, partially attributable to a higher rate of lymph node metastasis (LNM). Developing a precise predictive model for LNM occurrence in male PTC patients is imperative. While preliminary predictive models exist, there is room to improve accuracy. Further research is needed to create optimized prognostic models specific to LNM prediction in male PTC cases. METHODS: We conducted a comprehensive search of publicly available microarray datasets to identify candidate genes continuously upregulated or downregulated during PTC progression in male patients only. Univariate Cox analysis and lasso regression were utilized to construct an 11-gene signature predictive of LNM. TIPARP emerged as a key candidate gene, which we validated at the protein level using immunohistochemical staining. A prognostic nomogram incorporating the signature and clinical factors was developed based on the TCGA cohort. RESULTS: The 11-gene signature demonstrated good discriminative performance for LNM prediction in training and validation datasets. High TIPARP expression associated with advanced stage, high T stage, and presence of LNM. A prognostic nomogram integrating the signature and clinical variables reliably stratified male PTC patients into high and low recurrence risk groups. CONCLUSIONS: We identified a robust 11-gene signature and prognostic nomogram for predicting LNM occurrence in male PTC patients. We propose TIPARP as a potential contributor to inferior outcomes in males, warranting further exploration as a prognostic biomarker and immunotherapeutic target. Our study provides insights into the molecular basis for gender disparities in PTC.