Abstract
BACKGROUND: The effect of plasma hepcidin concentrations on the long-term risk of developing adverse cardiovascular outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is unclear. METHODS: We followed for a median of 55.6 months 213 outpatients with established T2DM (45.5% women, mean age 69 ± 10 years; BMI 28.7 ± 4.7 kg/m(2); median diabetes duration 11 years). Baseline plasma ferritin and hepcidin concentrations were measured with an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay and mass spectrometry-based assay, respectively. The primary study outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality or incident nonfatal cardiovascular events (inclusive of myocardial infarction, permanent atrial fibrillation, ischemic stroke, or new hospitalization for heart failure). RESULTS: 42 patients developed the primary composite outcome over a median follow-up of 55.6 months. After stratifying patients by baseline hepcidin tertiles [1st tertile: median hepcidin 1.04 (IQR 0.50-1.95) nmol/L, 2nd tertile: 3.81 (IQR 3.01-4-42) nmol/L and 3rd tertile: 7.72 (IQR 6.37-10.4) nmol/L], the risk of developing the primary composite outcome in patients in the 3rd tertile was double that of patients in the 1st and 2nd tertile combined (unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.32, 95%CI 1.27-4.26; p = 0.007). This risk was not attenuated after adjustment for age, sex, adiposity measures, smoking, hypertension, statin use, antiplatelet medication use, plasma hs-C-reactive protein and ferritin concentrations (adjusted HR 2.53, 95%CI 1.27-5.03; p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: In outpatients with T2DM, higher baseline hepcidin concentrations were strongly associated with an increased long-term risk of overall mortality or nonfatal cardiovascular events, even after adjustment for established cardiovascular risk factors, plasma ferritin concentrations, medication use, and other potential confounders.