Real-Time Prediction of Oil-Type Gas Emissions in Coal-Oil-Gas Coexistence Mines

煤油气共存矿井中油型气体排放的实时预测

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Abstract

Oil-type gas disasters are a frequently occurring concern in coal-oil-gas coexistence mines. In order to actively predict the volume of oil-type gas emissions from floor rocks, this study presents an investigative methodology to forecast the geological conditions of floor rocks in front of the roadway face by utilizing the Direct Current (DC) method. The assessment of electrical resistance in rock formations, which is widely employed for identifying geological characteristics, serves as the basis for proposing a geological anomaly index derived from rock resistivity. This index effectively characterizes the stability of rock strata, providing an indirect evaluation of fracture development. As a real-time geological detection index for floor rocks that are 100 m ahead of the roadway face, it enhances predictive capabilities. Moreover, when combined with parameters such as floor rock thickness and permeability, the paper presents simulations of oil-type gas emissions under varying geological conditions. Subsequently, an adaptive optimization of the Back Propagation (BP) neural network is achieved through the Genetic Algorithm Back Propagation Neural Network (GA-BP) model to evaluate the quantity of oil-type gas emissions in roadways. This advanced real-time prediction method is applied in Huangling coal mining to predict the oil-type gas emissions from the floor rocks in the excavation roadway area. The results show consistency with field monitoring outcomes, confirming the accuracy of the predictive model. In conclusion, this advanced real-time prediction technique enables continuous monitoring and real-time forecasting of oil-type gas emissions in front of roadways. This capability facilitates the implementation of specific measures for pre-extraction in gas disaster prevention and control, thereby ensuring the safety of coal mine production. Moreover, the versatility of this advanced real-time prediction method extends to early warnings of rock mass instability-related disasters. Through a comprehensive understanding of subsurface conditions, continuous monitoring of changes, and the application of predictive models, timely actions can be taken to reduce risks and uphold safety standards.

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