Optimizing sepsis treatment strategies via a reinforcement learning model

利用强化学习模型优化脓毒症治疗策略

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Abstract

PURPOSE: The existing sepsis treatment lacks effective reference and relies too much on the experience of clinicians. Therefore, we used the reinforcement learning model to build an assisted model for the sepsis medication treatment. METHODS: Using the latest Sepsis 3.0 diagnostic criteria, 19,582 sepsis patients were screened from the Medical Intensive Care Information III database for treatment strategy research, and forty-six features were used in modeling. The study object of the medication strategy is the dosage of vasopressor drugs and intravenous infusion. Dueling DDQN is proposed to predict the patient's medication strategy (vasopressor and intravenous infusion dosage) through the relationship between the patient's state, reward function, and medication action. We also constructed protection against the possible high-risk behaviors of Dueling DDQN, especially sudden dose changes of vasopressors can lead to harmful clinical effects. In order to improve the guiding effect of clinically effective medication strategies on the model, we proposed a hybrid model (safe-dueling DDQN + expert strategies) to optimize medication strategies. RESULTS: The Dueling DDQN medication model for sepsis patients is superior to clinical strategies and other models in terms of off-policy evaluation values and mortality, and reduced the mortality of clinical strategies from 16.8 to 13.8%. Safe-Dueling DDQN we proposed, compared with Dueling DDQN, has an overall reduction in actions involving vasopressors and reduces large dose fluctuations. The hybrid model we proposed can switch between expert strategies and safe dueling DDQN strategies based on the current state of patients. CONCLUSIONS: The reinforcement learning model we proposed for sepsis medication treatment, has practical clinical value and can improve the survival rate of patients to a certain extent while ensuring the balance and safety of medication.

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