Dynamics of a Cournot game with bounded rational firms and various scale effects

具有有限理性厂商和各种规模效应的古诺博弈的动力学

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Abstract

In this paper, we focus on a dynamic Cournot game in the market with a nonlinear (isoelastic) demand function. In our model, there are N competing firms featured by nonlinear cost functions, which enhances our model's resemblance to real-world scenarios. Firstly, we focus on the homogeneous case where firms' marginal costs change at equal rates. We establish analytical expressions of the market supply at equilibrium and perform comparative static analysis. In addition, we investigate the local stability under different economies of scale and show that there could be multiple stable equilibria if firms face economies of scale. The heterogeneous case where firms' marginal costs change at distinct rates is much more complex, thus we investigate the duopoly game with only two firms involved. Methods of symbolic computations such as triangular decomposition and partial cylindrical algebraic decomposition are employed in the analytical investigations of the equilibrium, which is nearly impossible by using the pencil-and-paper approach since the closed-form equilibrium is quite complicated. According to the computational results, we derive that two stable positive equilibria may coexist if both firms face economies of scale. Additionally, we conduct preliminary numerical simulations and find two different types of complex dynamics of the model considered in this paper: complex trajectories such as periodic and chaotic orbits may appear; the topological structure of the basins of attraction may be complex.

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