Abstract
BACKGROUND: To investigate a non-invasive radiomics-based machine learning algorithm to differentiate upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) from renal cell carcinoma (RCC) prior to surgical intervention. METHODS: Preoperative computed tomography venous-phase datasets from patients that underwent procedures for histopathologically confirmed UTUC or RCC were retrospectively analyzed. Tumor segmentation was performed manually, and radiomic features were extracted according to the International Image Biomarker Standardization Initiative. Features were normalized using z-scores, and a predictive model was developed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). The dataset was split into a training cohort (70%) and a test cohort (30%). RESULTS: A total of 236 patients [30.5% female, median age 70.5 years (IQR: 59.5-77), median tumor size 5.8 cm (range: 4.1-8.2 cm)] were included. For differentiating UTUC from RCC, the model achieved a sensitivity of 88.4% and specificity of 81% (AUC: 0.93, radiomics score cutoff: 0.467) in the training cohort. In the validation cohort, the sensitivity was 80.6% and specificity 80% (AUC: 0.87, radiomics score cutoff: 0.601). Subgroup analysis of the validation cohort demonstrated robust performance, particularly in distinguishing clear cell RCC from high-grade UTUC (sensitivity: 84%, specificity: 73.1%, AUC: 0.84) and high-grade from low-grade UTUC (sensitivity: 57.7%, specificity: 88.9%, AUC: 0.68). Limitations include the need for independent validation in future randomized controlled trials (RCTs). CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning-based radiomics models can reliably differentiate between RCC and UTUC in preoperative CT imaging. With a suggested performance benefit compared to conventional imaging, this technology might be added to the current preoperative diagnostic workflow. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Local ethics committee no. 20-179.