Development and evaluation of the model for acute kidney injury in patients with cardiac arrest after successful resuscitation

建立和评估心脏骤停复苏成功后患者急性肾损伤模型

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: This study aims to construct a clinical prediction model and create a visual line chart depicting the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) following resuscitation in cardiac arrest (CA) patients. Additionally, the study aims to validate the clinical predictive accuracy of the developed model. METHODS: Data were retrieved from the Dryad database, and publicly shared data were downloaded. This retrospective cohort study included 347 successfully resuscitated patients post-cardiac arrest from the Dryad database. Demographic and clinical data of patients in the database, along with their renal function during hospitalization, were included. Through data analysis, the study aimed to explore the relevant influencing factors of acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients after cardiopulmonary resuscitation. The study constructed a line chart prediction model using multivariate logistic regression analysis with post-resuscitation shock status (Post-resuscitation shock refers to the condition where, following successful cardiopulmonary resuscitation after cardiac arrest, some patients develop cardiogenic shock.), C reactive protein (CRP), Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and Alkaline phosphatase (ALP) identified as predictive factors. The predictive efficiency of the fitted model was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that post-resuscitation shock status, CRP, LDH, and PAL were the influencing factors of AKI after resuscitation in CA patients. The calibration curve test indicated that the prediction model was well-calibrated, and the results of the Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) demonstrated the clinical utility of the model constructed in this study. CONCLUSION: Post-resuscitation shock status, CRP, LDH, and ALPare the influencing factors for AKI after resuscitation in CA patients. The clinical prediction model constructed based on the above indicators has good clinical discriminability and practicality.

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