Abstract
A scientific approach to the assessment of trends in land changes based on the novel concept of Land Degradation Neutrality (LDN) was applied to monitor the sustainability of irrigated farmlands in test areas in Uzbekistan (the Andijan, Namangan, Fergana, and Syrdarya regions). The tool "Trends.Earth", which was recommended by the UN Convention to Combat Desertification and developed as a special plugin for the Quantum GIS platform, was used to describe the dynamics of land degradation in the period 2001-2020. This study demonstrates the results of monitoring land productivity dynamics that reflect the investments in irrigation improvement during the last 10-15 years. A comparison between changes in land productivity measured via Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and its average value for the entire observation period is more informative than comparison with the initial 5-year period. More details could be noted through application of the "moving average" calculation method. The described trends demonstrate that the use of sustainable land management practices in the last decade led to a decreasing proportion of degraded lands compared to the average figure for the period 2001-2020 (from 25-40% to 10-20%). This trend is confirmed by reviewing state statistics and indicates the success of national policies and approaches to adaptation. However, the dynamics of land productivity in the study areas is diverse and includes "dry" and "humid" extremes, depending on climate fluctuations. Despite the generally positive trends identified across regions, the high dynamics of degraded hotspots and improved lands within certain areas confirm the instability of ongoing changes.