Dynamic connectedness between green energy and carbon risk during Russia-Ukraine conflict: new evidence from a wavelet analysis

俄乌冲突期间绿色能源与碳风险的动态关联:来自小波分析的新证据

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Abstract

The study explores the inter-relations between green and renewable energy and carbon risk. Key market participants with varying time horizons include traders, authorities, and other financial entities. This research examines these relationships and frequency dimensions from February 7, 2017, to June 13, 2022, using novel multivariate wavelet analysis approaches, such as partial wavelet coherency and partial wavelet gain. The multiple coherencies between green bond, clean energy, and carbon emission futures imply that these regions were situated at low frequencies (relating to approximately 124-day frequency) and run from the beginning of 2017 to the beginning of 2018, in the first half of 2020, and from the beginning of 2022 to the end of the sample. The relationship between the solar energy index, envitec biogas, biofuels, geothermal energy, and carbon emission futures, is significant in the low-frequency band starting from early 2020 to middle 2022 and in the high-frequency band starting from early 2022 to middle 2022. Our research demonstrates the partial coherencies between these indicators during the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The partial coherency between the S&P green bond index and carbon risk suggests that carbon risk pushes anti-phase connectedness. The partial phase difference S&P global clean energy index and carbon emission futures (from early April 2022 to the end of April 2022) recommend that indicators are in-phase with carbon risk pushing and the phase (from early May 2022 to middle June 2022), suggesting that carbon emission futures are in-phase with S&P global clean energy index pushing.

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