Abstract
BACKGROUND: The host response in culture-negative sepsis (CnS) has been marginally explored upon emergency department (ED) admission. It would be of paramount importance to create a clinical prediction rule to support the emergency department physician in identifying septic patients who can be treated with antibiotics immediately without waiting time to draw cultures if they are unlikely to provide useful diagnostic information. METHODS: A multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to identify the independent clinical variables and serum biomarkers of the culture-negative status among 773 undifferentiated septic patients. Those predictors were combined to build a nomogram predictive of CnS. RESULTS: The serum concentrations of six biomarkers, among the eight biomarkers assayed in this study, were significantly lower in the patients with CnS (449) than in those with culture-positive sepsis (324). After correction for co-variates, only mid-regional proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) was found to be independently correlated with culture-negative status. Absence of diabetes, hemoglobin concentrations, and respiratory source of infection were the other independent clinical variables integrated into the nomogram-its sensitivity and specificity for CnS were 0.80 and 0.79, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Low concentrations of MR-proADM were independently associated with culture-negative sepsis. Our nomogram, based on the MR-proADM levels, did not predict culture-negative status with reasonable certainty in patients with a definitive diagnosis of sepsis at ED admission.