Predictive Value of Platelet-Based Indexes for Mortality in Sepsis

血小板指标对脓毒症死亡率的预测价值

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Abstract

Background: Even though there have been improvements in antimicrobial and supportive therapies, sepsis and septic shock are still major causes of death in intensive care units. Early prognostic stratification is very important for helping doctors make decisions. Platelet-derived indices may provide useful, low-cost indicators that signify both inflammatory activation and coagulation irregularities. This study looked at how well different platelet-based ratios could predict death in the hospital from sepsis. Materials and Methods: We performed a prospective observational study spanning one year in a tertiary ICU, enrolling 114 adult patients diagnosed with sepsis or septic shock. Upon admission, four platelet-related biomarkers were measured: the C-reactive protein-to-platelet ratio (CPR), the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), the platelet-to-white blood cell ratio (PWR), and the platelet-to-creatinine ratio (PCR). Logistic regression models and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were employed to assess predictive accuracy. Results: Compared to survivors, non-survivors (n = 39) had much higher CRP levels and CPR values, alongside lower platelet and lymphocyte counts. The CPR index showed the best ability in differentiating between non-survivors and survivors (AUC 0.757), with a best cutoff of 0.886. In simplified multivariate models, CPR was still an independent predictor of death in the hospital (OR 1.98; 95% CI 1.22-3.21), whereas PLR and PWR were not. PCR showed a non-significant trend toward lower values in not survivors. Conclusions: CPR is a strong and clinically viable predictor of early mortality in sepsis, outperforming other platelet-based indices. Derived from routine laboratory parameters, CPR serves as a valuable adjunct for initial risk stratification in the ICU. To further confirm its prognostic role and incorporation into current scoring systems, large-scale multicenter studies with longitudinal measurements are warranted to validate its prognostic utility and integration into existing scoring systems.

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