Cross-Sectional Brain Age Assessments Are Limited in Predicting Future Brain Change

横断面脑龄评估在预测未来脑变化方面存在局限性。

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Abstract

The concept of brain age (BA) describes an integrative imaging marker of brain health, often suggested to reflect aging processes. However, the degree to which cross-sectional MRI features, including BA, reflect past, ongoing, and future brain changes across different tissue types from macro- to microstructure remains controversial. Here, we use multimodal imaging data of 39,325 UK Biobank participants, aged 44-82 years at baseline and 2,520 follow-ups within 1.12-6.90 years to examine BA changes and their relationship to anatomical brain changes. We find insufficient evidence to conclude that BA reflects the rate of brain aging. However, modality-specific differences in brain ages reflect the state of the brain, highlighting diffusion and multimodal MRI brain age as potentially useful cross-sectional markers.

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