Thinking about the microbiome as a causal factor in human health and disease: philosophical and experimental considerations

Relationships between hosts and host-associated microbial communities are complex, intimate, and associated with a wide variety of health and disease states. For these reasons, these relationships have raised many difficult questions and claims about microbiome causation. While philosophers and scientists alike have pondered the challenges of causal inference and offered postulates and rules, there are no simple solutions, especially with poorly characterized, putative causal factors such as microbiomes, ill-defined host effects, and inadequate experimental models. Recommendations are provided here for conceptual and experimental approaches regarding microbiome causal inference, and for a research agenda.