Contrast-enhanced CT-based radiomics model explained by the Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method for predicting preoperative diagnosis of pheochromocytoma and adrenal adenoma

基于对比增强CT的放射组学模型,采用Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) 方法进行解释,用于预测嗜铬细胞瘤和肾上腺腺瘤的术前诊断。

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Abstract

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to develop and validate a prediction model that integrates radiomics with clinical characteristics, employing interpretable machine learning methods. The goal was to assist in the differential diagnosis of pheochromocytoma (PHEO) and adrenal adenoma, thereby providing a reference for decision-support information for patients with adrenal tumors. METHODS: We retrospectively included 107 patients with PHEO and 230 patients with adrenal adenoma, all of whom were pathologically confirmed. Based on contrast-enhanced CT scans, we extracted 1,316 radiomics features and performed multiple rounds of feature selection to identify those with high discriminative relevance. Then we developed models incorporating these features along with clinical data, utilizing various algorithms including SVM, RF, SGD, KNN, XGBoost, and LightGBM. The diagnostic performance of these models was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Decision Curve Analysis, calibration curves, and DeLong tests. Finally, we used the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method to interpret the contributions of different features. RESULTS: The clinical-radiomics model demonstrated superior performance, achieving an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.938. The Decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated that this model was more beneficial than either the clinical models or the radiomics models. Additionally, the SHAP method highlighted the contribution of each feature in the final model, with “log-sigma-1-mm-3D_glszm_GLNU” identified as the most important feature. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that the clinical-radiomics model using contrast-enhanced CT could effectively distinguish PHEO from adrenal adenomas. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12880-026-02238-x.

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