2022 Sudan Ebolavirus Outbreak in Uganda: Modelling Case Burden and Outbreak Duration

2022年苏丹埃博拉病毒在乌干达爆发:病例负担和疫情持续时间建模

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Abstract

In September 2022, an outbreak of Sudan virus (SUDV) was confirmed in Uganda. Following the first case report, we developed an individual based modelling platform (IBM-SUDV) to estimate the burden of cases and deaths, as well as the duration of the unfolding SUDV outbreak, using different scenarios. Modelled projections were within the range of cases and deaths ultimately observed.

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