Gender-specific prognosis models reveal differences in subarachnoid hemorrhage patients between sexes

性别特异性预后模型揭示了蛛网膜下腔出血患者在不同性别间的差异

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) represents a severe stroke subtype. Our study aims to develop gender-specific prognostic prediction models derived from distinct prognostic factors observed among different-gender patients. METHODS: Inclusion comprised SAH-diagnosed patients from January 2014 to March 2016 in our institution. Collected data encompassed patients' demographics, admission severity, treatments, imaging findings, and complications. Three-month post-discharge prognoses were obtained via follow-ups. Analyses assessed gender-based differences in patient information. Key factors underwent subgroup analysis, followed by univariate and multivariate analyses to identify gender-specific prognostic factors and establish/validate gender-specific prognostic models. RESULTS: A total of 929 patients, with a median age of 57 (16) years, were analyzed; 372 (40%) were male, and 557 (60%) were female. Differences in age, smoking history, hypertension, aneurysm presence, and treatment interventions existed between genders (p < 0.01), yet no disparity in prognosis was noted. Subgroup analysis explored hypertension history, aneurysm presence, and treatment impact, revealing gender-specific variations in these factors' influence on the disease. Screening identified independent prognostic factors: age, SEBES score, admission GCS score, and complications for males; and age, admission GCS score, intraventricular hemorrhage, treatment interventions, symptomatic vasospasm, hydrocephalus, delayed cerebral ischemia, and seizures for females. Evaluation and validation of gender-specific models yielded an AUC of 0.916 (95% CI: 0.878-0.954) for males and 0.914 (95% CI: 0.885-0.944) for females in the ROC curve. Gender-specific prognostic models didn't significantly differ from the overall population-based model (model 3) but exhibited robust discriminative ability and clinical utility. CONCLUSION: Variations in baseline and treatment-related factors among genders contribute partly to gender-based prognosis differences. Independent prognostic factors vary by gender. Gender-specific prognostic models exhibit favorable prognostic performance.

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