Abstract
BACKGROUND: Traditional clinical diagnostic methods of rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder (RBD) have certain limitations, especially in the early stages. This study aims to develop and validate an magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics-based machine learning classifier to accurately detect RBD patients with Parkinson's disease (PD). METHODS: Data from 183 subjects, including 63 PD patients with RBD, sourced from the PPMI database were utilized in this study. The data were randomly divided into training (70%) and testing (30%) sets. Quantitative radiomic features of white matter, gray matter, and cerebrospinal fluid were extracted from whole-brain structural MRI images. Feature reduction was performed on the training set data to construct radiomics signatures. Additionally, multi-factor logistic regression analysis identified clinical predictors associated with PD-RBD, and these clinical features were integrated with the radiomics signatures to develop predictive models using various machine learning algorithms. The model exhibiting the best performance was selected, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate its performance in both the training and testing sets. Furthermore, based on the optimal cut-off value of the model, subjects were categorized into low- and high-risk groups, and differences in the actual number of RBD patients between the two sets were compared to assess the clinical effectiveness of the model. RESULTS: The radiomics signatures achieved areas under the curve (AUC) of 0.754 and 0.707 in the training and testing sets, respectively. Multi-factor logistic regression analysis revealed that postural instability was an independent predictor of PD-RBD. The random forest model, which integrated radiomics signatures with postural instability, demonstrated superior performance in predicting PD-RBD. Specifically, its AUCs in the training and testing sets were 0.917 and 0.882, with sensitivities of 0.933 and 0.889, and specificities of 0.786 and 0.722, respectively. Based on the optimal cut-off value of 0.3772, significant differences in the actual number of PD-RBD patients were observed between low-risk and high-risk groups in both the training and testing sets (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: MRI-based radiomic signatures have the potential to serve as biomarkers for PD-RBD. The random forest model, which integrates radiomic signatures with postural instability, and shows improved performance in identifying PD-RBD. This approach offers valuable insights for prognostic evaluation and preventive treatment strategies.