Abstract
Drilling boreholes for the exploration of groundwater incurs high cost with potential risk of failures. However, borehole drilling should only be done in regions with a high probability of faster and easier access to water-bearing strata, so that groundwater resources can be effectively managed. However, regional strati-graphic uncertainties drive the decision of the optimal drilling location search. Unfortunately, due to the unavailability of a robust solution, most contemporary solutions rely on physical testing methods that are resource intensive. In this regard, a pilot study is conducted to determine the optimal borehole drilling location using a predictive optimization technique that takes strati-graphic uncertainties into account. The study is conducted in a localized region of the Republic of Korea using a real borehole data set. In this study we proposed an enhanced Firefly optimization algorithm based on an inertia weight approach to find an optimal location. The results of the classification and prediction model serve as an input to the optimization model to implement a well-crafted objective function. For predictive modeling a deep learning based chained multioutput prediction model is developed to predict groundwater-level and drilling depth. For classification of soil color and land-layer a weighted voting ensemble classification model based on Support Vector Machines, Gaussian Naïve Bayes, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosted Machine is developed. For weighted voting, an optimal set of weights is determined using a novel hybrid optimization algorithm. Experimental results validate the effectiveness of the proposed strategy. The proposed classification model achieved an accuracy of 93.45% and 95.34% for soil-color and land-layer, respectively. While the mean absolute error achieved by proposed prediction model for groundwater level and drilling depth is 2.89% and 3.11%, respectively. It is found that the proposed predictive optimization framework can adaptively determine the optimal borehole drilling locations for high strati-graphic uncertainty regions. The findings of the proposed study provide an opportunity to the drilling industry and groundwater boards to achieve sustainable resource management and optimal drilling performance.