Abstract
Implementation of RSV prevention strategies requires an understanding of seasonal virus epidemiology; yet, such data are lacking in many tropical regions. We describe the seasonality and environmental factors associated with RSV activity in Machala, Ecuador. From July 2018 to July 2023, we analyzed nasopharyngeal samples from children younger than 5 years with an acute respiratory illness using Biofire FilmArray v.1.7™. Meteorological data were obtained from Ecuador's Instituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología. RSV detection was associated with mean outdoor air temperature (threshold 27 °C, area under the curve (AUC) 0.74, p < 0.001) that was even stronger when using a 4-week lag (threshold 27 °C, AUC 0.865, p < 0.001) and with precipitation greater than 0.5 mm/week using a 6-week lag (p = 0.008). This finding could provide guidance for the ideal timing to improve RSV surveillance and implement RSV prevention measures in Machala, including universal administration of extended half-life monoclonal antibody to infants entering their first RSV season.