The development of a nomogram and the prognostic prediction value of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma undergoing radical radiotherapy

建立列线图及其对接受根治性放疗的食管鳞状细胞癌患者的预后预测价值

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Abstract

AIM: This study aimed to explore the role of the developed nomogram in the prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). METHODS: A total of 181 ESCC patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 141) and a validation cohort (n = 40). Significant factors impacting overall survival (OS) were identified in the training set and integrated into the nomogram based on Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: In the training cohort, the median OS in the high group (≥222) was 49.9 months and the median OS in the low group (<222) was 14.4 months. Multivariate analysis revealed that age, Karnofsky performance status score, tumor stage, chemotherapy, BMI, cervical esophageal carcinoma index and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio were predictors of OS. CONCLUSION: The developed nomogram can effectively predict the survival prognosis of ESCC patients.

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