Abstract
BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most lethal malignancies in the world. Patients with HCC choose postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE) after surgical resection to reduce the risk of recurrence. However, many of them have recurrence within a short period. METHODS: In this retrospective analysis, a total of 173 patients who underwent PA-TACE between September 2016 and March 2020 were recruited. Radiomic features were derived from the arterial and venous phases of each patient. Early recurrence (ER)-related radiomics features of HCC and the spleen were selected to build two rad-scores using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis. Logistic regression was applied to establish the Radiation (Rad)_score by combining the two regions. We constructed a nomogram containing clinical information and dual-region rad-scores, which was evaluated in terms of discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness. RESULTS: All three radiological scores showed good performance for ER prediction. The combined Rad_score performed the best, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.853 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.783-0.908) in the training set and 0.929 (95% CI, 0.789-0.988) in the validation set. Multivariate analysis identified total bilirubin (TBIL) and the combined Rad_score as independent prognostic factors for ER. The nomogram was found to be clinically valuable, as determined by the decision curves (DCA) and clinical impact curves (CIC). CONCLUSION: A multimodal dual-region radiomics model combining HCC and the spleen is an independent prognostic tool for ER. The combination of dual-region radiomics features and clinicopathological factors has a good clinical application value.