Abstract
BACKGROUND: Currently, there is still a lack of effective biomarkers for the recurrence monitoring and survival prognosis assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)-negative (≤20 ng/mL) after radical resection. METHODS: The clinicopathological data of 606 patients (303 in the AFP-negative group and 303 in the AFP-positive group) who underwent radical resection of HCC were analyzed retrospectively. RESULTS: The gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to lymphocyte count ratio (GLR) of patients in the AFP-negative group was lower than that in the AFP-positive group (p <0.001). The GLR level of the early-recurrence group was higher than that of the non-early-recurrence group (p =0.003). GLR had fair accuracy in predicting the early-recurrence of HCC patients [c-index=0.654 (95% CI=0.606-0.702); AUC=0.681 (95% CI=0.625-0.733)]. Univariate analysis showed that patients with tumor size <5 cm, no microvascular invasion, single tumor, no metastasis, BCLC stage 0-A, no recurrence, and GLR ≤45.0 had longer disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) among AFP-negative HCC patients. In addition, multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that tumor size <5 cm (p =0.003), no recurrence (p <0.001), and GLR <45.0 (p <0.001) were independent predictors of longer OS. CONCLUSION: GLR may be a potential indicator for early recurrence monitoring and prognosis evaluation in HCC patients with AFP-negative after radical resection.