Abstract
The IoT-enabled smart grid system provides smart meter data for electricity consumers to record their energy consumption behaviors, the typical features of which can be represented by the load patterns extracted from load data clustering. The changeability of consumption behaviors requires load pattern update for achieving accurate consumer segmentation and effective demand response. In order to save training time and reduce computation scale, we propose a novel incremental clustering algorithm with probability strategy, ICluster-PS, instead of overall load data clustering to update load patterns. ICluster-PS first conducts new load pattern extraction based on the existing load patterns and new data. Then, it intergrades new load patterns with the existing ones. Finally, it optimizes the intergraded load pattern sets by a further modification. Moreover, ICluster-PS can be performed continuously with new coming data due to parameter updating and generalization. Extensive experiments are implemented on real-world dataset containing diverse consumer types in various districts. The experimental results are evaluated by both clustering validity indices and accuracy measures, which indicate that ICluster-PS outperforms other related incremental clustering algorithm. Additionally, according to the further case studies on pattern evolution analysis, ICluster-PS is able to present any pattern drifts through its incremental clustering results.