Abstract
BACKGROUND: Sweet sorghum (Sorghum bicolor) displays an excellent potential to serve as a non-food bioenergy feedstock for bioethanol production in China due to its high potential yield on marginal lands. However, few studies have been conducted on the potential of sweet sorghum yield and appropriate industrial models in different marginal regions in China. This study explored the spatial distribution of potential sweet sorghum production using the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) model and proposed three typical industrial models of sweet sorghum industry to calculate their economic and ecological benefits. RESULTS: The results indicate that considering the factors of land use, annual precipitation, soil salinity, soil pH, and accumulated temperature, approximately 32.23 million ha of marginal land are suitable for sweet sorghum cultivation in China, and 130 million tonnes (t) of ethanol can be produced. Further, the development of the sweet sorghum industry under the three models can generate 1425.49 billion CNY potential, approximately accounting for 3.57% of industrial added value in China if measured against 2023 levels, and reduce CO(2) emissions by 4.68 million t. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides an innovative perspective for the multi-industry large-scale promotion of sweet sorghum in different marginal lands based on the high spatial resolution Geographic Information System (GIS) data by the DSSAT model with a Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) method, and this applies not only to China but also to the worldwide and other types of energy plants.