Decoding acute myocarditis in patients with COVID-19: Early detection through machine learning and hematological indices

解读新冠肺炎患者的急性心肌炎:通过机器学习和血液学指标进行早期检测

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作者:Haiyang Li, Zhangkai J Cheng, Xing Fu, Mingtao Liu, Peng Liu, Wenhan Cao, Zhiman Liang, Fei Wang, Baoqing Sun

Abstract

During the persistent COVID-19 pandemic, the swift progression of acute myocarditis has emerged as a profound concern due to its augmented mortality, underscoring the urgency of prompt diagnosis. This study analyzed blood samples from 5,230 COVID-19 individuals, identifying key blood and myocardial markers that illuminate the relationship between COVID-19 severity and myocarditis. A predictive model, applying Bayesian and random forest methodologies, was constructed for myocarditis' early identification, unveiling a balanced gender distribution in myocarditis cases contrary to a male predominance in COVID-19 occurrences. Particularly, older men exhibited heightened vulnerability to severe COVID-19 strains. The analysis revealed myocarditis was notably prevalent in younger demographics, and two subvariants COVID-19 progression paths were identified, characterized by symptom intensity and specific blood indicators. The enhanced myocardial marker model displayed remarkable diagnostic accuracy, advocating its valuable application in future myocarditis detection and treatment strategies amidst the COVID-19 crisis.

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