Abstract
The primary goal of this work was to apply data-driven machine learning regression to assess if resting state functional connectivity (rs-FC) could estimate measures of behavioral domains in stroke subjects who completed brain-computer interface (BCI) intervention for motor rehabilitation. The study cohort consisted of 20 chronic-stage stroke subjects exhibiting persistent upper-extremity motor deficits who received the intervention using a closed-loop neurofeedback BCI device. Over the course of this intervention, resting state functional MRI scans were collected at four distinct time points: namely, pre-intervention, mid-intervention, post-intervention and 1-month after completion of intervention. Behavioral assessments were administered outside the scanner at each time-point to collect objective measures such as the Action Research Arm Test, Nine-Hole Peg Test, and Barthel Index as well as subjective measures including the Stroke Impact Scale. The present analysis focused on neuroplasticity and behavioral outcomes measured across pre-intervention, post-intervention and 1-month post-intervention to study immediate and carry-over effects. Rs-FC, changes in rs-FC within the motor network and the behavioral measures at preceding stages were used as input features and behavioral measures and associated changes at succeeding stages were used as outcomes for machine-learning-based support vector regression (SVR) models. Potential clinical confounding factors such as age, gender, lesion hemisphere, and stroke severity were included as additional features in each of the regression models. Sequential forward feature selection procedure narrowed the search for important correlates. Behavioral outcomes at preceding time-points outperformed rs-FC-based correlates. Rs-FC and changes associated with bilateral primary motor areas were found to be important correlates of across several behavioral outcomes and were stable upon inclusion of clinical variables as well. NIH Stroke Scale and motor impairment severity were the most influential clinical variables. Comparatively, linear SVR models aided in evaluation of contribution of individual correlates and seed regions while non-linear SVR models achieved higher performance in prediction of behavioral outcomes.